Generated Shadow-Validation Decision
Approve a four-week, minimum-50-case shadow validation of Guardrailed recovery as the leading candidate. Under the declared synthetic case mix and policy assumptions, it cleared the guest-protection, data-quality, escalation, and operational guardrails with the lowest modeled cost among eligible policies.
Compared with Intelligent Generosity, the selected policy reduces modeled midpoint cost by $9,906, increases direct-refund face-value exposure by $9,535, and reduces manager-review volume by 30.2%. These are simulated tradeoffs for shadow validation, not projected results.
Five-Policy Comparison
| Policy | Safe path | Strict fit | Midpoint cost | Direct refund face value | Manager review | Assumption-stress pass rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Synthetic discretionary baseline | 44.7% | 44.7% | $19,109 | $7,345 | Unknown | 0.0% |
| Tiered standardization | 91.7% | 88.1% | $24,527 | $7,875 | 27.2% | 0.0% |
| Guardrailed recovery | 100.0% | 100.0% | $29,104 | $10,835 | 27.4% | 99.6% |
| Recovery first | 100.0% | 54.8% | $49,632 | $1,595 | 63.3% | 100.0% |
| Intelligent generosity | 100.0% | 64.8% | $39,010 | $1,300 | 57.7% | 100.0% |
Safe path includes an adequate gesture or an explicit manager-review path; strict fit evaluates the proposed gesture alone.
Selected-Policy Review Queue Preview
| Case | Issue | Guest | Recommendation | Estimated cost | Path |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| case_00168 | room assignment expectation gap | loyalty guest | $0 Data-quality hold | $0-$0 | Data hold |
| case_00171 | room readiness delay | new guest | $0 Data-quality hold | $0-$0 | Data hold |
| case_00049 | maintenance issue | new guest | $0 Data-quality hold | $0-$0 | Data hold |
| case_00075 | room assignment expectation gap | loyalty guest | $0 Data-quality hold | $0-$0 | Data hold |
| case_00094 | F&B service lapse | returning guest | $0 Data-quality hold | $0-$0 | Data hold |
| case_00096 | maintenance issue | new guest | $0 Data-quality hold | $0-$0 | Data hold |
| case_00137 | room assignment expectation gap | vip guest | $0 Data-quality hold | $0-$0 | Data hold |
| case_00275 | noise disruption | event/suite guest | $0 Data-quality hold | $0-$0 | Data hold |
| case_00309 | room assignment expectation gap | new guest | $0 Data-quality hold | $0-$0 | Data hold |
| case_00414 | room assignment expectation gap | new guest | $0 Data-quality hold | $0-$0 | Data hold |
| case_00076 | housekeeping miss | event/suite guest | $465 future-stay credit | $140-$395 | Manager review |
| case_00392 | maintenance issue | event/suite guest | $415 future-stay credit | $124-$353 | Manager review |